A small workshop · Est. 2026

Investment tools for thinking less, deciding better.

Tools, calculators & experiments.

Each one solves a problem worth solving. Click through to use it.

001 · Pensions Live

IPS Hub

US public-pension Investment Policy Statements, read so you don’t have to. 117 plans, refreshed monthly — what changed, which benchmarks they hold themselves to, and how the universe scores.

002 · Monitoring Live

PensionGraph

Public-pension board packs, read at scale. 148 plans and 5,000+ documents, extracted and summarised into weekly and monthly briefs — who committed to what, which managers won mandates, how funds are performing.

003 · Simulation By request

The Alternate Historian

Counterfactual macro worlds for institutional portfolios. Take a fund through a decade of stagflation, goldilocks or deflation bust — one decision window at a time — then face the reckoning. Simulated throughout; every run reproducible.

004 · Regimes Live

Regimes

Which past looks most like now? Seven market variables, one distance, no regimes named in advance. A live replication of Mulliner, Harvey, Xia, Fang & Van Hemert (2026) — the nearest historical months, the anti-regimes, and whether the ground is shifting.

005 · Macro Live

States

Which macro regime the US is in right now — Contraction, Goldilocks, Overheating or Stagflation — from a walk-forward model on the FRED-MD panel, refreshed each month with a one-month publication lag. Every regime-timing number is shown beside a plain 60/40 benchmark, before and after trading costs, with the look-ahead stripped out and decomposed. An Introduction and a Methodology paper carry the live figures.

006 · Retirement Live

Glidepath Lab

What a private-markets sleeve does to a target-date fund when the premium is a scenario and the redemption cap is real. Monthly plan cash flows against a 5% quarterly gate, income across a grid of premiums, the fee hurdle in one number — with the methodology written down. Engine and API live; the workbench follows.

007 · Markets Live

Briefing

A weekly market and policy briefing built only from primary sources. Every figure traces to its FRED series and vintage; the commentary layer arrives next.

What this is

The Lazy Economist is a workshop for small, sharp tools that help with investment decisions — without the noise.